Época de furacões 2006 (Pacifico Norte)

Tópico em 'Tempo Tropical' iniciado por Dan 3 Jul 2006 às 19:58.

  1. Dan

    Dan
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    Staff

    Registo:
    26 Ago 2005
    Mensagens:
    8,529
    Local:
    Bragança (675m)
    O Tufão EWINIAR a NW das Filipinas e com uma trajectória que o coloca em direcção ao sul da China ou do Japão.

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  2. Dan

    Dan
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    Staff

    Registo:
    26 Ago 2005
    Mensagens:
    8,529
    Local:
    Bragança (675m)
    O tufão EWINIAR perdeu alguma intensidade e dirige-se ameaça agora a China e a Coreia do Sul.

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  3. Seringador

    Seringador
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    29 Ago 2005
    Mensagens:
    2,984
    Local:
    Canelas - Vila Nova de Gaia
    As últimas:

    CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON AND
    EARLY EVENING SUGGEST THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT
    625 NMI SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS ACQUIRED
    ENOUGH CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION TO BE DESIGNATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    THREE-E. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT IS BASED ON A DVORAK
    SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0/30 KT FROM THE TAFB.
    UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT RESTRICTED TO
    THE NORTH.

    THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/07. THE GENERAL CONSENSUS AMONG
    THE GLOBAL MODELS IS THAT THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
    LOCATED ALONG 25N LATITUDE WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH MOST OF THE
    FORECAST PERIOD. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE CYCLONE
    EMBEDDED WITHIN A DEEP EASTERLY STEERING CURRENT...WHICH SHOULD
    RESULT IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION. THE SLOWER
    THAN AVERAGE FORWARD SPEED OF ONLY 7-8 KT IS POSSIBLY DUE TO SOME
    INTERACTION WITH A MUCH LARGER DISTURBANCE...PROBABLY THE NEXT
    TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP...LOCATED ABOUT 900 NMI TO THE EAST.
    THAT SYSTEM IS MOVING FASTER THAN TD-3E...SO THERE MAY BE SOME WEAK
    SOUTHERLY COMPONENT OF MOTION IMPARTED TO THE DEPRESSION IN 24-48
    HOURS AS INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS GRADUALLY INCREASES.

    A SMALL UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE
    DEPRESSION HAS BEEN INDUCING WEAK NORTHERLY SHEAR AND DRY AIR
    INTRUSIONS...WHICH HAVE BEEN INHIBITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
    HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS INDICATES THAT
    LOW HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME ELONGATED EAST-WEST...PRODUCING
    NORTHWESTERLY INSTEAD OF NORTHERLY WINDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
    DEPRESSION...THUS DECREASING THE SHEAR. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
    FOR AT LEAST SLOW STEADY STRENGTHENING...AND THE SHIPS INTENSITY
    MODEL FORECAST WAS CLOSELY FOLLOWED FOR THIS ADVISORY.

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INITIAL 11/0300Z 12.5N 110.6W 30 KT
    12HR VT 11/1200Z 12.8N 111.7W 35 KT
    24HR VT 12/0000Z 13.2N 113.0W 40 KT
    36HR VT 12/1200Z 13.6N 114.4W 45 KT
    48HR VT 13/0000Z 14.0N 115.8W 55 KT
    72HR VT 14/0000Z 14.8N 118.6W 60 KT
    96HR VT 15/0000Z 15.5N 121.5W 60 KT
    120HR VT 16/0000Z 16.0N 124.5W 55 KT

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
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  4. Seringador

    Seringador
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    29 Ago 2005
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    2,984
    Local:
    Canelas - Vila Nova de Gaia
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  5. dj_alex

    dj_alex
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    Nimbostratus

    Registo:
    14 Dez 2005
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    Lisboa

    O carlota as 10h tinha estas caracteristicas...

    Wed 12 Jul 10:00 14.1N/103.9W 315° 19 km/h ??? 65 km/h ??? storm

    daqui ainda não ser classificado como furação...

    Olha as caracteristicas do bud :


    Wed 12 Jul 10:00 15N/115.3W ??? ??? ??? 157 km/h ??? Hurricane

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/storm_nep.htm

    Passei no teste???? hahahahaha
     
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  6. dj_alex

    dj_alex
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    Nimbostratus

    Registo:
    14 Dez 2005
    Mensagens:
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    Local:
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    Já agora...fica fica a escala utilizada na classificação dos furcaoes:

    Tropical Storm
    Winds 39-73 mph

    Category 1 Hurricane — winds 74-95 mph (119-153 km/hr)
    No real damage to buildings. Damage to unanchored mobile homes. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Also, some coastal flooding and minor pier damage.
    - Examples: Irene 1999 and Allison 1995

    Category 2 Hurricane — winds 96-110 mph (154-177 km/hr)
    Some damage to building roofs, doors and windows. Considerable damage to mobile homes. Flooding damages piers and small craft in unprotected moorings may break their moorings. Some trees blown down.
    - Examples: Bonnie 1998, Georges(FL & LA) 1998 and Gloria 1985

    Category 3 Hurricane — winds 111-130 mph (178-209 km/hr)
    Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings. Large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly built signs destroyed. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by floating debris. Terrain may be flooded well inland.
    - Examples: Keith 2000, Fran 1996, Opal 1995, Alicia 1983 and Betsy 1965

    Category 4 Hurricane — winds 131-155 mph (210-249 km/hr)
    More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failure on small residences. Major erosion of beach areas. Terrain may be flooded well inland.
    - Examples: Hugo 1989 and Donna 1960

    Category 5 Hurricane — winds 156 mph and up (249 km/hr)
    Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. Flooding causes major damage to lower floors of all structures near the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas may be required.
    - Examples: Andrew(FL) 1992, Camille 1969 and Labor Day 1935
     
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  7. Luis França

    Luis França
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    Nimbostratus

    Registo:
    23 Mai 2006
    Mensagens:
    1,467
    Local:
    Hades
    Já para não esquecer o Bilis a NE de Hong-Kong em fase de enchimento:

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  8. Seringador

    Seringador
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    29 Ago 2005
    Mensagens:
    2,984
    Local:
    Canelas - Vila Nova de Gaia
    Lamento mas, tiveste um 9,2:D :D :rolleyes:
    A razão é que: o mais inportante é a sua organização do que a sua grandeza de convecção isto para uma classificação!
     
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