Depois de um excelente evento a chuva vai voltar em força dando um pouco de descanso ao frio e neve, mas segundo o Sr. Joe Bastardi é apenas um pequeno descanso...
SUNDAY 6:00 PM LONDON TIME
WINTERS ICY GRIP TO RELEASE JAN 15-25, BUT BACK FOR FEB.
The physical drivers for the overall cold winter remains. The atlantic tripole, the warm, cold warm profile from the north atlantic to off the southeast US coast favors a negative nao. The central Pacific remains the focus of the nino. In addition the mei is similar to where it was it previous years when there was major cold over parts of Europe, but the problem is where.
I remain partial to 02-03 which had a nasty February, however as bad as the first half of Jan has been over the northwest part of Europe, I think February will have the worse part of winter relative to averages from Germany eastward into Russia. There is likely to be more cold further southeast than there has been. The message is that winter, which will retreat over the continent to some degree in its severity will return but the worst will be over in the northwest compared to the areas targeted. So the Battle of Britain and France this winter, while not over, will be more of a skirmish than what it has been.
Now let me clear. If it had not been so bad, lets say it had been as Hadley had said, I would be telling you that February would be a wintery month. But I dont think relative to the 30 days ending 15 Jan, it will be able to compete. So when reading this, I have to rely on you to understand.. there are two things that I am trying to draw attention too, what it should be in relation to normal and what it has been. And by the way I think Feb 15-Mar 14 is as cold as Jan 15-Feb 14... as the reload may mean some ugly weather deep into March.
So winter is not over..but the current siege will let up.
I will be updating you as I can a firm handle, but if I am going to tell you when its going to get brutal before it does, I owe it to you to tell you when it will get warmer. I cant answer email on specific sites as this is a general column to show the generalities of the pattern and to make the major points.. like this winter was not going to be a walk in the park, at least not one without overcoats and snow boots
By the way , the video on the free site was a pre-emptive strike before some people over here started to blame climate change on the cold. Sure enough President Obamas spokesman walked right into the trap
http://hotairpundit.blogspot.com/2010/01/robert-gibbs-worldwide-record-cold-is. html
I didnt think it would be him, ( press secretary Gibbs) but a lower level, perhaps epa or noaa spokesman. His aides should make sure before he walks into it, they check things out so they understand that the same thing that was an ice age when he was growing up cant be global warming... oops I mean climate change now.
I wish to personally thank him for verifying the idea that someone would actually do that... amazing.
ciao for now *****
será que vai acertar como acertou este principio de ano?
Esse calor de Fevereiro costuma aparecer todos os anos tal como as nevadas de Abril.
