Previsão e Seguimento Tufões (Pacífico Oeste 2018)



luismeteo3

Furacão
Registo
14 Dez 2015
Mensagens
17,112
Local
Fatima (320m)
Isto promete... :rain:

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luismeteo3

Furacão
Registo
14 Dez 2015
Mensagens
17,112
Local
Fatima (320m)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #27 - 3:00 AM JST July 21 2018
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM AMPIL (T1810)
===========================================================
130 km east southeast of Naha (Okinawa Prefecture)

At 18:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Ampil (985 hPa) located at 25.6N 129.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 14 knots.

Gale Force Winds
================
270 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 29.7N 123.5E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) East China Sea
48 HRS: 32.6N 118.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Over land Central China
72 HRS: 35.2N 115.6E - Tropical Depression Over land Northern China

-------------------------------------

Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18N 117E ESE SLOWLY.

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rokleon

Nimbostratus
Registo
2 Abr 2016
Mensagens
596
Local
Esmoriz
90

Typhoon Shanshan to threaten Japan next week

There are two scenarios for Shanshan’s track next week, each with significantly different impacts to Japan.
The first scenario would take Shanshan, as a powerful typhoon, westward into or near the east coast of Honshu. The storm could reach a strength equal to a Category 2 hurricane in the Atlantic and east Pacific oceans.
This would bring significant impacts to the Japan mainland with the greatest risk for damaging winds and flooding rainfall across eastern and northern Honshu, including the Greater Tokyo Area.
The other scenario would take Shanshan northward more quickly, allowing it to continue on a north to northeast track through the middle of next week and keeping it several hundred miles to the east of Japan.
This would still result in rough seas and surf around Japan while keeping the threat for damaging winds offshore.
As the storm begins to approach eastern Japan early next week, rough seas and surf will begin to reach the eastern coastline of Japan and also threaten shipping interests in the region.
 
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