Furacão DORIAN (Atlântico 2019 #AL05)



Afgdr

Cumulonimbus
Registo
28 Set 2011
Mensagens
2,129
Local
Lagoa - São Miguel, Açores
O Dorian deverá gerar acumulados muito elevados, da ordem dos 300 aos 600 mm nas Bahamas do Noroeste, com acumulados isolados de 760 mm.

Na costa dos estados da Carolina do Norte e da Carolina do Sul, esperam-se valores que podem ir dos 130 aos 250 mm, com quantidades isoladas de 380 mm.

Nas Bahamas centrais e na Costa Atlântica da Península da Flórida até à Geórgia são esperados acumulados de 50 a 100 mm, com acumulados isolados de 150 mm.


RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through late this week:

Northwestern Bahamas...12 to 24 inches, isolated 30 inches.
Coastal Carolinas...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.
Central Bahamas and the Atlantic Coast from the Florida peninsula
through Georgia...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.



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A storm surge originada pelo Dorian poderá elevar as águas do mar entre 4,6 a 6 metros acima dos níveis normais nas ilhas Ábaco e na Grande Bahama em áreas de vento onshore ("vento maral").


STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
by as much as 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels in areas of
onshore winds on the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island. Near
the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.
 

Afgdr

Cumulonimbus
Registo
28 Set 2011
Mensagens
2,129
Local
Lagoa - São Miguel, Açores
O Dorian voltou a intensificar-se. Desloca-se, neste momento, com ventos máximos sustentados de 175 mph ≈ 281 km/h. As rajadas podem ultrapassar os 200 mph ≈ 322 km/h. A pressão mínima central é de 922 hPa.

Impressionante!


000
WTNT65 KNHC 011330
TCUAT5

Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
930 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AS IT
APPROACHES THE ABACO ISLANDS...


Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that Dorian has continued to intensify, and now has maximum
sustained winds near 175 mph (280 km/h), with a minimum central
pressure of 922 mb (27.23 inches).

The eyewall of catastrophic Hurricane Dorian is currently reaching
the Abaco Islands. This is a life-threatening situation. Residents
there should take immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if
it passes over your location.


Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 200 mph
- Storm Surge 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels with higher
destructive waves


These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas.
and will continue for several hours.



SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.73 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Blake/Zelinsky/Avila
 

JCARL

Cumulus
Registo
29 Nov 2010
Mensagens
416
Local
Vila Velha de Ródão
O Dorian voltou a intensificar-se. Desloca-se, neste momento, com ventos máximos sustentados de 175 mph ≈ 281 km/h. As rajadas podem ultrapassar os 200 mph ≈ 322 km/h. A pressão mínima central é de 922 hPa.

Impressionante!


000
WTNT65 KNHC 011330
TCUAT5

Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
930 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AS IT
APPROACHES THE ABACO ISLANDS...


Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that Dorian has continued to intensify, and now has maximum
sustained winds near 175 mph (280 km/h), with a minimum central
pressure of 922 mb (27.23 inches).

The eyewall of catastrophic Hurricane Dorian is currently reaching
the Abaco Islands. This is a life-threatening situation. Residents
there should take immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if
it passes over your location.


Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 200 mph
- Storm Surge 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels with higher
destructive waves


These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas.
and will continue for several hours.



SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.73 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Blake/Zelinsky/Avila
Preocupante.
 

Orion

Furacão
Registo
5 Jul 2011
Mensagens
21,565
Local
Açores
Aviso 33

A dropsonde from the NOAA plane measured a wind gust of 176 kt at the surface. A blend of these measurements yield to an initial intensity of 155 kt, making Dorian the strongest hurricane on record in the northwestern Bahamas.

176 nós = 326 km/h

Tão ou mais importante que estudar o aquecimento global no que concerne à intensificação dos ciclone tropicais é mesmo saber se o primeiro contribui para uma posição mais estacionária dos anticiclones.

As 2 ilhas das Bahamas vão ser mais arrasadas devido à duração da permanência do ciclone da mesma maneira que partes do Texas ficaram epicamente inundadas devido à paragem do Harvey 2017.
 
Última edição:

Afgdr

Cumulonimbus
Registo
28 Set 2011
Mensagens
2,129
Local
Lagoa - São Miguel, Açores
O Dorian continua a intensificar-se... incrível! :shocking:

Neste momento, desloca-se a 7 mph ≈ 11 km/h com ventos máximos sustentados de 180 mph ≈ 290 km/h e rajadas que podem atingir as 219 mph ≈ 352 km/h. A pressão mínima central baixou para os 913 hPa.


000
WTNT35 KNHC 011456
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...DORIAN BECOMES THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN MODERN RECORDS FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
...CATASTROPHIC CONDITIONS OCCURING IN THE ABACOS ISLANDS...



SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES

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Última edição:

Afgdr

Cumulonimbus
Registo
28 Set 2011
Mensagens
2,129
Local
Lagoa - São Miguel, Açores
Foram ativados novos avisos/alertas. Além dos avisos/alertas emitidos, estão em vigor agora um Alerta de Furacão para a costa leste da Flórida, desde o N de Deerfield Beach até à fronteira entre os condados de Volusia e de Brevard e um Alerta de Tempestade Tropical para o Lago Okeechobee.

Foi lançado também um Alerta de Storm Surge desde o N de Deerfield Beach até à até à fronteira entre os condados de Volusia e de Brevard.


A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from
north of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

A Storm Surge Watch has also been issued from north of Deerfield
Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Lake Okeechobee.



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A storm surge deverá elevar o nível das águas em 5,5 a 7 m em relação aos níveis normais em áreas de ventos onshore nas ilhas Ábaco e na Grande Bahama.

STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
by as much as 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels in areas of
onshore winds on the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island. Near
the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.


Se o pico da storm surge coincidir com o período da preia-mar, o nível da água pode atingir os 1,2 a 2,1 m acima do chão desde a fronteira entre os condados de Volusia e Brevard até Jupiter Inlet e os 0,6 a 1,2 m desde o N de Deerfield Beach a Jupiter Inlet.


The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Volusia/Brevard County Line to Jupiter Inlet FL...4 to 7 ft
North of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet FL...2 to 4 ft
 

JCARL

Cumulus
Registo
29 Nov 2010
Mensagens
416
Local
Vila Velha de Ródão
O Dorian continua a intensificar-se... incrível! :shocking:

Neste momento, desloca-se a 7 mph ≈ 11 km/h com ventos máximos sustentados de 180 mph ≈ 290 km/h e rajadas que podem atingir as 219 mph ≈ 352 km/h. A pressão mínima central baixou para os 913 hPa.


000
WTNT35 KNHC 011456
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...DORIAN BECOMES THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN MODERN RECORDS FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
...CATASTROPHIC CONDITIONS OCCURING IN THE ABACOS ISLANDS...



SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES

2gy9WS7.png
Muito Preocupante.