Previsão e Seguimento Furacões (Pacífico Este 2008)

AnDré

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Registo
22 Nov 2007
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12,188
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Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
Norbert, furacão de categoria 4!!


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...Norbert becomes an extremely dangerous category four hurricane...

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Norbert.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 200 PM PDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Norbert was located
near latitude 16.6 north...longitude 111.2 west or about 445 miles
...715 km...south of the southern tip of Baja California.

Norbert is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr.
A northwestward motion is expected to begin later today or
tonight...followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday night
or Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with higher
gusts.
Norbert is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next
day or so...followed by gradual weakening on Friday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 145
miles...230 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb...27.99 inches.


Repeating the 200 PM PDT position...16.6 N...111.2 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135
mph. Minimum central pressure...948 mb.


Previsão para os próximos 3 dias:

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Ike

Cirrus
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6 Set 2008
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66
Local
Terreiro - Tomar
O Norbert aos olhos de um leigo perece-me bem organizado (não sendo por acaso que é um Cat. 4).

Sempre que aparece um grande furacão ou tufão vou até ao site da NASA para ver se há fotos do espaço, como as que tiraram do Ike...mas do Norbert não há nada.

Parace que o Pacífico Este está bem mais agitado que o Atântico neste momento, para além do Norbert, temos ainda a tempestade tropical Odile, e um invest.

Também estive a tentar procurar io "hurricane archive" no whather underground para as tempestades no Pacífico Este, mas só me aparece informação histórica do Atlântico Norte. :huh:
 

psm

Nimbostratus
Registo
25 Out 2007
Mensagens
1,509
Local
estoril ,assafora
O Norbert aos olhos de um leigo perece-me bem organizado (não sendo por acaso que é um Cat. 4).

Sempre que aparece um grande furacão ou tufão vou até ao site da NASA para ver se há fotos do espaço, como as que tiraram do Ike...mas do Norbert não há nada.

Parace que o Pacífico Este está bem mais agitado que o Atântico neste momento, para além do Norbert, temos ainda a tempestade tropical Odile, e um invest.

Também estive a tentar procurar io "hurricane archive" no whather underground para as tempestades no Pacífico Este, mas só me aparece informação histórica do Atlântico Norte. :huh:




tenta ir http://weather.unisys.com/
 

AnDré

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22 Nov 2007
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12,188
Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
Norbert perdeu alguma força. É agora um furacão de categoria 3!

...Norbert weakens a little...but still a major hurricane...

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Norbert.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 800 am PDT...1500z...the center of Hurricane Norbert was located
near latitude 18.0 north...longitude 112.7 west or about 385 miles
...620 km...south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.

Norbert is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph...11 km/hr. A
turn to the north-northwest is expected by tonight. Norbert is
forecast to turn north and north-northeast with an increase in
forward speed on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph...185 km/hr...
with higher
gusts. Norbert is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next
24 hours...but steady weakening is expected to begin on Friday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140
miles...220 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb...28.35 inches.


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AnDré

Moderação
Registo
22 Nov 2007
Mensagens
12,188
Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
O Norbert aos olhos de um leigo perece-me bem organizado (não sendo por acaso que é um Cat. 4).

Sempre que aparece um grande furacão ou tufão vou até ao site da NASA para ver se há fotos do espaço, como as que tiraram do Ike...mas do Norbert não há nada.

Parace que o Pacífico Este está bem mais agitado que o Atântico neste momento, para além do Norbert, temos ainda a tempestade tropical Odile, e um invest.

Também estive a tentar procurar io "hurricane archive" no whather underground para as tempestades no Pacífico Este, mas só me aparece informação histórica do Atlântico Norte. :huh:


Hey Ike!

Há um tópico do tempo tropical com links úteis para o acompanhamento de furações:
Links Úteis e Climatologia da Época de Furacões no Atlântico

Na parte Imagens de Satélite, há links que têm também imagens de satélite do Pacifico. Por exemplo, o CIMSS Tropical Cyclones.

Clicas sobre o furacão, e abre-se uma janela com os vários canais do Satélite. Depois é só escolheres aquilo que pretendes ver. :)

Por exemplo, imagem de satélite VIS(1km) do Norbet às 18h UTC:

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AnDré

Moderação
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22 Nov 2007
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Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
Depois das 18h UTC e até por volta das 22h UTC, o furacão Norbert perdeu força e no último aviso público desceu à categoria 1.
No entanto, mas últimas duas horas, o olho do furacão voltou a organizar-se, sendo de esperar que tenha aumentando outra vez a sua intensidade. Esperemos pelo próximo aviso.

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AnDré

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22 Nov 2007
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Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
Tempestade tropical Odile

O Pacífico este anda cheio de força!

a tropical storm watch remains in effect for the Pacific coast of
Mexico from Punta Maldonado westward to Zihuatanejo. A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

Odile is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr.
This general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in
forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast
track...the center of Odile should move parallel to...and not far
offshore of...the Pacific coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb...29.44 inches.

Odile could produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the
southern states of Guerrero...Oaxaca...and Chiapas...with
isolated amounts of 8 inches possible. These rains could result in
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

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AnDré

Moderação
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22 Nov 2007
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12,188
Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
...Norbert targets southern Baja California...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the West Coast of Baja
California from Puerto San Andresito to Agua Blanca. Preparations
to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
the coast of Mainland Mexico from Topolobampo northward to guaymas
and for the coast of Baja California from south of Agua Blanca
southward to Cabo San Lucas and northward around the peninsula to
Loreto.

A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for the East Coast of
Baja California from Loreto northward to Mulege.

At 500 PM PDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Norbert was located
near latitude 21.7 north...longitude 113.3 west or about 230 miles
...370 km...west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.

Norbert is moving toward the north near 10 mph...17 km/hr. A turn
to the north-northeast and then the northeast with an increase in
forward speed is expected over the next day or so. On this
track...Norbert is forecast to make landfall along the West Coast
of the southern Baja Peninsula Saturday morning...then move over
the Gulf of California Saturday afternoon. Norbert will then make
a second landfall along the coast of Mainland Mexico Saturday
night.


Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with
higher gusts.
Norbert is a category two hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Some weakening is forecast during the next
day or so although Norbert is still expected to reach the Baja
Peninsula as a hurricane.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles...55 km...east
of the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to
140 miles...220 km...from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb...28.64 inches.

Norbert is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Baja California as well as portions of
northwestern Mexico...with possible isolated amounts of 10 inches.
These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mud
slides.

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AnDré

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22 Nov 2007
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Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
Hurricane Norbert batters Mexico

A powerful cylone has swept across Mexico's northwest Pacific coast, tearing off roofs and forcing hundreds of people to flee flooded homes, local authorities say.

One person has gone missing and more than 20,000 homes are without electricity since Hurricane Norbert struck on Saturday.

Norbert, which made landfall as a Category Two hurricane on the five-level Saffir-Simpson scale, came ashore at Puerto Cortes on the Baja California peninsula around 1630 GMT, according to Mexico's national weather service.

It was later downgraded to a Category One storm with winds of 150km per hour.

"A man trying to cross the Miramar creek has been reported as missing after the current swept him away," the authorities in Loreto, one of the Mexican municipalities Norbert tore through, said.

At 0300 GMT on Sunday the eye of Norbert was located about 195km east-northeast of Loreto, the US-based National Hurricane Center reported.

Mass evacuations

Some 2,850 people were housed in temporary shelters.

Forty per cent of homes were totally or partially damaged on the islands of Margarita and Magdalena, mainly having lost their roofs, according to a report from state protection services.

In the Baja California capital of La Paz, the storm knocked out power to 13,000 homes, and to 8,000 more in Ciudad Constitution, the Federal Electricity Commission reported.

Fonte

Mais noticias aqui:
Hurricane Norbert storms Mexico's Baja peninsula
Hurricane Norbert hits Mexico's Baja
Hurricane Norbert crosses over Mexico mainland
 

AnDré

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22 Nov 2007
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Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (930m)
...Norbert made landfall and is now inland and weakening over
Mainland Mexico...


a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the coast of Mainland
Mexico from Topolobampo northward to guaymas.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the coast of Mainland
Mexico from south of Topolobampo southward to Altata.

The center of Hurricane Norbert made landfall on the coast of
Mainland Mexico about 25 miles...35 km...southeast of huatabampo
around 900 PM PDT...0400 UTC. Maximum sustained winds at landfall
were estimated to be near 85 mph...140 km/hr.

At 1100 PM PDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Norbert was located
inland near latitude 27.1 north...longitude 108.6 west or about 65
miles...105 km...east-northeast of huatabampo Mexico.

Norbert is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph...33 km/hr...and
this general motion is expected to continue today. On this track
the center of Norbert will continue moving over northwestern Mexico
overnight and during the day on Sunday. The remnants of Norbert
will likely move into the southwestern United States Sunday
evening.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts.
Norbert is a category one hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Rapid weakening is likely as Norbert
moves over the mountainous terrain of Mexico.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles...85 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles...280 km.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.

Norbert is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over portions of northwestern Mexico...with possible isolated
amounts of 10 inches. These rains could result in life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides. In addition...Norbert or its remnants
could produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over portions
of the southwestern United States through Sunday morning.

Storm surge flooding and waves along the coast of Mainland Mexico
should subside this morning.


Imagens de satélite das últimas horas:
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Previsão para as próximas horas:
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Histórico da Intensidade do furacão Norbert:
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