Dan segundo o NHC pode desenvolver-se para um furacão, visto que a tempestade tropical Beta está estacionária e com as águas do Mar das Caraíbas é quase certo!
Citando o NHC
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SIX WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM
BETA AT 27/0900 UTC. T.S. BETA IS CENTERED NEAR 11.4N 81.8W AT
27/0900 UTC MOVING NW AT 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC AND THE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 FOR MORE DETAILS.
WARM WATERS AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE PROVIDING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR BETA TO STRENGTHEN EVEN FURTHER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12.5N BETWEEN 80W AND THE COAST OF N COSTA RICA/S NICARAGUA.
Mas não é tudo....
De acordo com o NHC é possivel tb o desenvolvimento de uma Onda tropical para uma depressão tropical sobre as Leewards islands
W ATLC TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES IS ALONG
60W S OF 18N WITH A 1008 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
12N...MOVING W 10-15 KT. AN UPPER HIGH IS E OF THE WAVE
ENHANCING THE SHOWERS/CONVECTION.
UPPER WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE AS IT MOVES INTO
THE E CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
75 NM OF LINE FROM 11N57W 11N59W OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TO
14N62W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OVER
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
Faz lembrar os famosos anos 30,40 e 50 em que se formavam sistemas ciclónicos nesta mesma área e durante o mês de Outubro, que por sua vez influenciaram tempestades na Europa durante o Outono/Inverno
isto é bom sinal para um Inverno violento e áspro!