Furacão JOAQUIN (Atlântico 2015 #AL11)

StormRic

Furacão
Registo
23 Jun 2014
Mensagens
14,149
Local
Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
http://gcaptain.com/tote-maritime-us-cargo-ship-el-faro-missing-in-hurricane-joaquin/#.Vg8kKpd2H8k


Update:
The U.S. Coast Guard has suspended its search overnight for the missing MV El Faro with 33 crewmembers onboard near the Bahamas after the search on Friday turned up empty.

The Coast Guard updated Friday evening that the search has covered approximately 850 nautical miles of ocean and involved the Coast Guard Cutter Northland, HC-130 Hercules airplanes from Coast Guard Air Station Clearwater, Florida and a MH-60 Jayhawk rescue helicopter crew forward deployed in Great Inagua, Bahamas.

So far, the crews have been unable to locate and reestablish communications with the vessel or its crew.

The search was temporarily suspended at sundown and will continue at first light Saturday morning, the Coast Guard said.

Original: The U.S. Coast Guard has launched a search for a U.S.-flagged containership with 33 crewmembers aboard reported to be caught in Hurricane Joaquin, near Crooked Island, Bahamas.

The Coast Guard reported Friday that at approximately 7:30 a.m. Thursday, watchstanders at the Coast Guard Atlantic Area command center in Portsmouth, Virginia, received an Inmarsat satellite notification stating the 735-foot cargo ship El Faro was beset by Hurricane Joaquin while en route to San Juan, Puerto Rico, from Jacksonville, Florida. The notification said that the ship had lost propulsion and had a 15-degree list.

The El Faro crew reported the ship had previously taken on water, but that all flooding had been contained, the Coast Guard said.

The Coast Guard has launched an HC-130 aircrew out of Clearwater, Florida to search for the missing ship and its crew. The Coast Guard has so far been unable to reestablish communications with the El Faro crew, the Coast Guard reported Friday morning.

Two Air Force C-130 Hurricane Hunter aircrews have also attempted to locate inside the hurricane and reestablish communications with the El Faro but so far any attempts have been unsuccessful. Coast Guard crews remain on scene and are continuing search efforts Friday by both air and sea.

El Faro is part of TOTE Maritime’s fleet serving in the Puerto Rican trade. The crew is comprised of 28 U.S. citizens and five Polish nationals, according to the Coast Guard.

2015-10-02T194528Z_537803706_GF10000230273_RTRMADP_3_STORM-JOAQUIN-SHIP.jpg

The El Faro is shown in this undated handout photo provided by Tote Maritime in Jacksonville, Florida, October 2, 2015. Reuters/Tote Maritime


Hurricane Joaquin grew to a powerful Category 4 storm on Thursday, battering the Bahamas with torrential rain, strong winds and storm surges. On late Thursday, Joaquin was centered about 75 miles (120 km) south of San Salvador, Bahamas with maximum sustained winds of 130 miles per hour (210 kph), the National Hurricane Center said in its advisory late on Thursday.

Tim Nolan, President of TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico issued the following statement regarding the situation with the El Faro:

“On September 29, the El Faro, one of TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico’s two ships departed Jacksonville en-route to San Juan Puerto Rico. At the time of the El Faro’s departure, the vessel’s officers and crew were monitoring what was then Tropical Storm Joaquin. As of 720am EST on Thursday October 1, TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico lost all communication with the El Faro. The US Coast Guard was immediately notified and since then we have been unable to reestablish communication. There are a number of possible reasons for the loss of communications among them the increasing severity of Hurricane Joaquin.

TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico’s primary concern is for the safety and well-being of the 33 individuals on board. We are working to ensure clear and frequent communications with their families and loved ones as we learn more.

We have reached out to the families of those impacted and have established open lines of communication to provide them with timely updates. Our thoughts and prayers are with the individuals and their families.

TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico is working closely with the US Coast Guard and all available resources to establish communication by whatever means possible.”

Location of Hurricane Joaquin on Thursday:

joaquin.a2015274.1755.1km.jpg

NASA’s Aqua satellite captured this visible image of Hurricane Joaquin over Bahamas on Thursday, October 1 at 17:55 UTC (1:55 p.m. EDT). Credits: NASA Goddard MODIS Rapid Response Team


The El Faro has been a part of Sea Star Line’s fleet serving the Jones Act trade route between the U.S. and Puerto Rico and the Caribbean. Sea Star Line was an operating company within TOTE, Inc., but it was recently re-organized along with Totem Ocean Trailer Express, serving the Alaska market, under the TOTE Maritime brand.

The El Faro was originally built in 1975 and underwent a major overhaul in 2006. The ship was known as the Northern Lights.

Also on Thursday, the U.S. Coast Guard rescued 12 crewmembers who abandoned the Bolivian-flagged cargo ship Minouche north of Haiti after the ship developed a severe list.
 

StormRic

Furacão
Registo
23 Jun 2014
Mensagens
14,149
Local
Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
Actualização: o furacão mantém-se em categoria 3, ventos de 205 Km/h.
Movimento para NE (40º) a 11 Km/h
Pressão 943 hPa.

000
WTNT31 KNHC 022345
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOAQUIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
800 PM EDT FRI OCT 02 2015

...CORE OF INTENSE HURRICANE JOAQUIN BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 74.3W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE SAN SALVADOR BAHAMAS
ABOUT 795 MI...1280 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.
 

StormRic

Furacão
Registo
23 Jun 2014
Mensagens
14,149
Local
Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)

StormRic

Furacão
Registo
23 Jun 2014
Mensagens
14,149
Local
Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOAQUIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1100 AM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015

The satellite presentation has improved during the past 12 hours.
A distinct eye is clearly observed in conventional imagery, and it
is surrounded by very deep convection. A blend of subjective and
objective Dvorak estimates of 6.0 and 6.5 T-numbers, and a peak
flight-level wind of 128 kt at 700 mb reported by a reconnaissance
aircraft yields an initial intensity of 115 kt. The central
pressure has dropped to 936 mb in the last reconnaissance fix.
Despite the small increase in the initial intensity, the NHC
forecast, which is very close to the intensity model consensus,
calls for gradual weakening due to increasing shear and cooler
waters. By the end of the forecast period, Joaquin is expected to
have lost tropical characteristics.

Reconnaissance and satellite fixes indicate that Joaquin is moving
toward the northeast or 050 degrees at an average speed of 12 kt.
The hurricane is currently embedded within the flow between a deep
eastward-moving trough over the southeastern United States and a
subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic. As the trough over the
United States swings eastward, the hurricane will likely turn
more to the north-northeast with some increase in forward speed
during the next 12 to 24 hours. Then, as the trough weakens, the
hurricane could slow down while moving west of Bermuda during late
Sunday. After that time, Joaquin is expected to become fully
embedded within the mid-latitude westerlies and accelerate eastward
toward the northeast Atlantic. The NHC forecast is very similar to
the previous one, on top of the multi-model consensus, and in the
middle of the guidance envelope.

Although the confidence in the track forecast has increased due to
the good agreement among models, a small deviation to the east of
the forecast track would bring the core of the hurricane with
stronger winds closer to Bermuda.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1500Z 25.8N 72.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 27.9N 70.2W 110 KT 125 MPH
24H 04/1200Z 30.7N 68.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 05/0000Z 33.0N 66.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 05/1200Z 35.0N 65.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 06/1200Z 39.0N 59.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 07/1200Z 43.5N 45.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 08/1200Z 48.5N 26.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Avila

NNNN
Alternate transportation in Charleston, SC... photo from @hoopdaddie
Flooding in Wildwood, NJ... photo from @surgguy
Flooding in Norfolk, VA... photo from Samantha Davis

Não é um local atingido pelo Joaquin, fica melhor no seguimento América do Norte. No entanto a simultaneidade dos eventos tem correlação, pois a circulação conjunta do furacão e do vasto anticiclone produzem os fortes ventos marítimos muito húmidos que atingem a costa Leste dos EUA.

LizUKqw.gif


Actualização de Joaquin pelo NHC há uma hora atrás:

Bermuda com aviso de tempestade tropical e hurricane watch:
zEUe1TY.gif


O furacão volta para trás depois da trágica visita às Bahamas, praticamente segundo uma trajectória com as características opostas à da chegada.

Incerteza quanto ao desvio que fará evitando a Bermuda:

oeiR2z4.gif


Joaquin volta a ser categoria 4 !

000
WTNT41 KNHC 031550
TCDAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1200 PM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015

This special advisory is to adjust the initial and forecast
intensity through 36 hours. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane

just penetrated the eye of Joaquin and measured 144 kt at 700 mb and
SFMR winds of around 135 kt. No change in the forecast track is
necessary.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1600Z 26.0N 71.6W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 27.9N 70.2W 130 KT 150 MPH

24H 04/1200Z 30.7N 68.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 05/0000Z 33.0N 66.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 05/1200Z 35.0N 65.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 06/1200Z 39.0N 59.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 07/1200Z 43.5N 45.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 08/1200Z 48.5N 26.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Avila


Estará portanto em categoria 5.
 
Última edição:

StormRic

Furacão
Registo
23 Jun 2014
Mensagens
14,149
Local
Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
Olho está limpando.

Terá sido o prenúncio de aumento de força.

...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS SEVERE HURRICANE JOAQUIN WITH 155 MPH WINDS...

000
WTCA41 TJSJ 031559
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
HURACAN JOAQUIN ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 24
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL112015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1200 PM EDT SABADO 3 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015

...AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO ENCUENTRA QUE EL HURACAN SEVERO JOAQUIN
TIENE VIENTOS DE 155 MPH...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1200 PM EDT...1600 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...26.0 NORTE 71.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 595 MI...960 KM AL SUROESTE DE BERMUDA
CERCA DE 230 MI...365 KM...AL NORESTE DE SAN SALVADOR
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NORESTE O 50 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...933 MILIBARES...27.55 PULGADAS


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 PM EDT (1600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Joaquin was located
near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 71.6 West. Joaquin is moving
toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight with an increase in forward
speed. A turn toward the north-northeast is forecast on Sunday. On
the forecast track, the eye of Joaquin will continue to move
away from the Bahamas today, and pass west of Bermuda on Sunday.
However, a small deviation to the east of the forecast track would
bring the core of the hurricane and stronger winds closer to
Bermuda.


An Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane just indicated that the maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h) with
higher gusts. Joaquin is a strong category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening is
still anticipated during the next couple of days.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The minimum central pressure recently reported by a reconnaissance
plane was 933 mb (27.55 inches).


Ventos máximos sustentados de 250 Km/h.

Espera-se um desvio da presente rota nordeste para NNE amanhã, esperando-se que evite assim a Bermuda, passando o olho a oeste. Mas os ventos com força de furacão estendem-se até 110 Km de distância do centro.