Furacão PALOMA (Atlântico 2008 #16)

Rog

Cumulonimbus
Registo
6 Set 2006
Mensagens
4,515
Local
Norte Madeira (500m)
Formou-se no Atlântico a Tempestade Tropical PALOMA.

Aviso 3:

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM
PALOMA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
PALOMA. WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST OR ABOUT
65 MILES...110 KM...EAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...
65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND PALOMA COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS
1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN HONDURAS...NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.




 

Vince

Furacão
Registo
23 Jan 2007
Mensagens
10,624
Local
Braga
Re: Tempestade Tropical PALOMA (Atlântico 2008 #16)

A Paloma parece estar já a desenvolver um olho, talvez antes do que o previsto, que era a de chegar a furacão cat 1 amanhã e posteriormente a furacão cat2.


paloma-1.gif


paloma.gif


As condições são boas, água quente, com bom calor acumulado em profundidade, e windshear baixo. Mas está previsto o aumento do windshear devido a um cavado que se aproximará nos próximos dias. Tal trará um grande aumento do windshear bem como acelerará a deslocação da Polama rapidamente para nordeste, podendo desmembrar o ciclone de uma forma idêntica ao que aconteceu ao Omar. Mas o timming correcto de como isso ocorrerá e aonde, se ainda no mar das Caraíbas ou só depois de afectar Cuba e ilhas Caimão, ainda é bastante incerto. A previsão oficial é a de afectar como Furacão enfraquecendo apenas depois.

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AnDré

Staff
Registo
22 Nov 2007
Mensagens
11,045
Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (900m)
Re: Tempestade Tropical PALOMA (Atlântico 2008 #16)

Já é mesmo quase, quase furacão...

at200817.gif


...Paloma still strengthening...


at 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...the government of the Cayman Islands has
issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cayman Islands. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph...100
km/hr...with higher gusts. Further strengthening is likely and
Paloma is expected to become a hurricane later tonight or tomorrow.


Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km
from the center.


An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter plane recently reported a
minimum central pressure of 994 mb...29.35 inches.

Paloma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches of rain over the Cayman Islands with isolated maximum totals
of 12 inches possible.
 

Vince

Furacão
Registo
23 Jan 2007
Mensagens
10,624
Local
Braga
Já é Furacão


BOLETIN
HURACAN PALOMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 5A
NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL172008
700 PM EST JUEVES 6 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2008

...PALOMA SE FORTALECE RAPIDAMENTE A UN HURACAN CATEGORIA 1...

ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. UN AVISO
DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES DE HURACAN DENTRO
DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE 24 HORAS. LOS
PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN SER COMPLETADOS.

LOS INTERESES EN CUBA Y JAMAICA DEBEN SEGUIR EL PROGRESO DE PALOMA.

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES
AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA.

A LAS 700 PM EST...0000Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL PALOMA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.7
OESTE O COMO A 165 MILLAS...270 KM...AL SUR DE GRAND CAYMAN Y COMO A
280 MILLAS...450 KM AL OESTE SUROESTE DE MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

PALOMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH... 19 KM/HR. SE
ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE Y LA MAYOR
PARTE DEL VIERNES...CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORESTE TARDE EL
VIERNES Y EL SABADO.

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. PALOMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA 1 EN
LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. PALOMA CONTINUA ORGANIZANDOSE MEJOR Y ES
POSIBLE UN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL. SE ESPERA QUE PALOMA SE
CONVIERTA EN HURACAN CATEGORIA 2 EL VIERNES.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTAN TROPICAL SE EXIENDE HACIA AFUERA
HASTA 70 MILLAS...110 KM DEL CENTRO. DURANTE LA HORA PASADA...LA
BOYA DE NOAA 42057 LOCALIZADA JUSTO AL ESTE DEL CENTRO REPORTO
VIENTO SOSTENIDO DE UN MINUTO DE 71 MPH...115 KM/HR Y UNA RAFAGA DE
VIENTO DE 78 MPH...126 KM/HR.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA POR INFORMACION OBTENIDA DE LA
BOYA DE NOAA ES DE 987 MILIBARES...29.15 PULGADAS.

SE ESPERA QUE PALOMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A
8 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS CAYMAN CON POSIBLES TOTALES MAXIMOS
AISLADOS DE 12 PULGADAS.

REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 700 PM EST...16.9 NORTE...81.7 OESTE.
MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS
SOSTENIDOS...75 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...987 MILIBARES.

LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES A LAS 1000 PM EST.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
 

AnDré

Staff
Registo
22 Nov 2007
Mensagens
11,045
Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (900m)
Categoria 2!

...Category two Paloma lashing Grand Cayman...


At 4 PM EST...the government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning for the Cuban province of Granma. A Tropical Storm Warning
and a Hurricane Watch are now in effect for the Cuban province of
Granma. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. A
Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba and the central Bahamas should
closely monitor the progress of Paloma.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

At 400 PM EST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Paloma was located
near latitude 18.7 north...longitude 81.3 west or about 40 miles...
70 km...south of Grand Cayman and about 290 miles...465 km...
southwest of Camaguey Cuba.

Paloma is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph...9 km/hr. A
turn toward the northeast is expected overnight and that general
motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast
track...the center of Paloma will pass near the Cayman Islands
tonight or early Saturday and be approaching the coast of central
Cuba late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Paloma is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.
Further strengthening is likely and Paloma could become a
category three hurricane tonight or early tomorrow. Slow weakening
is possible by late Saturday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120
miles...195 km.

The latest minimum central pressure as estimated from Air Force
Reserve and NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft data is 967 mb...28.56
inches.


Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels...
accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is expected
near the center of Paloma in the Cayman Islands. Storm surge
flooding of 8 to 12 feet is expected near and to the east of where
the center of Paloma makes landfall along the South Coast of Cuba.

Paloma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to
10 inches over the Cayman Islands and central and eastern Cuba with
isolated maximum totals of 15 inches possible. Flash flood and
mudslides are also possible...especially in higher terrain.

at200817_sat_2_anim-2.gif


Previsão para as próximas horas:

at200817-1.gif
 

AnDré

Staff
Registo
22 Nov 2007
Mensagens
11,045
Local
Odivelas (140m) / Várzea da Serra (900m)
Vamos ver a rota que se irá definir, se irá estar dentro do previsto ou não e onde este furacão se irá desintegrar. :rolleyes:

E pronto. Ei-la como furacão de categoria 3!

...Dangerous major Hurricane Paloma continuing to strengthen as it
slowly approaches Grand Cayman...


a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for the Cuban provinces of
Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey and Las Tunas. A
Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect for
the Cuban province of Granma. A Hurricane Watch means that
hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally
within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical
storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the
next 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba and the central Bahamas should
closely monitor the progress of Paloma.

Paloma is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph...9 km/hr. A
gradual turn toward the northeast is forecast to occur overnight and
that general motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the
forecast track...the center of Paloma will pass near Grand Cayman
tonight...be near Cayman Brac Saturday morning...and be approaching
the coast of central Cuba late Saturday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve unit hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115
mph...185 km/hr...with higher gusts. Paloma is now a category three
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is
possible through Saturday morning. Afterward...gradual weakening
is expected to begin by late Saturday.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120
miles...195 km. During the past hour...several reports of sustained
winds near 60 mph...97 km/hr...with gusts to near 80 mph...130
km/hr...have been received from amateur/ham radio operators on
Grand Cayman.

The latest minimum central pressure as estimated from Air Force
Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data is 962 mb...28.41 inches.


Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels...
accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is expected
near the center of Paloma in the Cayman Islands. Storm surge
flooding of 8 to 12 feet is expected near and to the east of where
the center of Paloma makes landfall along the South Coast of Cuba.

Paloma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to
10 inches over the Cayman Islands and central and eastern Cuba with
isolated maximum totals of 15 inches possible. Flash flood and
mudslides are also possible...especially in higher terrain.


at200817_sat_2_anim-3.gif


Previsão para as próximas horas:
at200817-2.gif
 

nimboestrato

Nimbostratus
Registo
8 Jan 2008
Mensagens
1,865
Local
Pedras Rubras-Aeroporto
A temporada de furacões no Atlântico está a acabar.Mas por vezes no seu terminus,quando já ninguém espera ,eis um furacão em sentido contrário.atrapalhando o tráfego,confirmando a excepção à regra.
E este, muito bem formado, ameaça agora terras habitadas.

paloma1ap3.jpg
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Pobre Cuba.
Depois de uma temporada bem agitada, ainda leva com mais um F3,fora de horas e em contramão.
Há anos, em que é a Flórida a mais castigada.
Este, fustigou terras mais a sul.