Ciclones Tropicais na Austrália e Pacífico Sul - 2015/2016

Tópico em 'Tempo Tropical' iniciado por Orion 29 Out 2015 às 21:03.

  1. Orion

    Orion
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
    18,091
    Local:
    Ponta Delgada, Açores
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    Tstorm e Felipe Freitas gostaram disto.
  2. Orion

    Orion
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    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
    18,091
    Local:
    Ponta Delgada, Açores
    TROPICAL CYCLONE POTENTIAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF NEW ZEALAND AT 0207 UTC 03-Jan-2016

    CURRENT STATUS OF CYCLONE ACTIVITY

    At 03/0000UTC (1pm Sunday New Zealand local time) Tropical cyclone ULA (968hPA, Category 3) was located near 19.8S 178.5W, about 100 kilometres northnortheast of Ono-i-Lau in Fiji Islands. Maximum sustained winds close to the centre is 80 knots (160km/hr). TC ULA is expected to continue moving southwest at 8 knots (16km/hr) and is expected to gradually weaken to a Category 2 cyclone tomorrow.

    FORECAST TO 1200 UTC 04-Jan-2016

    At 03/0000UTC (1pm Sunday New Zealand local time) Tropical cyclone ULA (968hPA, Category 3) was located near 19.8S 178.5W, about 100 kilometres northnortheast of Ono-i-Lau in Fiji Islands. Maximum sustained winds close to the centre is 80 knots (160km/hr). TC ULA is expected to continue moving southwest at 8 knots (16km/hr) and is expected to gradually weaken to a Category 2 cyclone tomorrow.

    OUTLOOK TO 1200 UTC 07-Jan-2016

    TC ULA is expected to take a more westerly track from Tuesday, (while located to the far south of Fiji) and is likely to be held off to the north of 25S by a building ridge of high pressure from the south.This ridge will also direct dry air into the system and this may help it to weaken to a Category 1 cyclone on Tuesday.

    Some computer models show another tropical depression to form near French Polynesia on Wednesday, then deepen from Thursday while tracking towards the southeast. This system is expected to remain in a favourable environment for further development. The potential for
    this to develop into a TC is low till Wednesday, and moderate thereafer.
     
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  3. Orion

    Orion
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    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
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    Local:
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    A ULA resiste:

    [​IMG]

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    SEVERE Tropical Cyclone Ula no longer poses a direct threat to Fiji, says Fiji Meteorological Service director Ravind Kumar.

    Mr Kumar said as the category three system moved away from the group, the country would still experience associated showers.

    "TC Ula was last located 335kilometres south of Kadavu yesterday and continues to follow a west south-west track at about 7km per hour," he said.

    http://www.fijitimes.com/story.aspx?id=336588
     
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    Tstorm, Felipe Freitas e joralentejano gostaram disto.
  4. Orion

    Orion
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    Local:
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    Ainda a Ula:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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    Tstorm e Felipe Freitas gostaram disto.
  5. Orion

    Orion
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    Já começa a ser ridículo este ciclone:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Hoje de manhã:

    Há pouco:

     
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    Tstorm e Felipe Freitas gostaram disto.
  6. Orion

    Orion
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
    18,091
    Local:
    Ponta Delgada, Açores
    A Ula sobe para Cat. 3:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    HURRICANE WARNING 040 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 081859 UTC.

    TROPICAL CYCLONE ULA CENTRE 970HPA CATEGORY 3 WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5 SOUTH 173.7
    EAST AT 081800 UTC.
    POSITION GOOD.
    REPEAT POSITION 18.5S 173.7E at 081800 UTC.
    CYCLONE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS.
    EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE

    EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE,
    EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE,
    EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 80 OF CENTRE.

    FORECAST POSITION NEAR 18.9S 172.9E AT 090600 UTC
    AND NEAR 19.4S 171.9E AT 091800 UTC.

    ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
    EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
    VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ
     
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    Tstorm e Felipe Freitas gostaram disto.
  7. Orion

    Orion
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    18,091
    Local:
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    Mais uma atualização:

    [​IMG]

    Dada a posição do ciclone, é agora possível acompanhá-lo na ferramenta dinâmica do instituto meteorológico australiano (equivalente à ferramenta oferecida pelo Eumetsat; tem menos opções mas mais resolução:

    [​IMG]

    http://satview.bom.gov.au/
     
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    #22 Orion, 9 Jan 2016 às 12:41
    Última edição: 9 Jan 2016 às 12:49
    Tstorm e Felipe Freitas gostaram disto.
  8. Orion

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  9. Orion

    Orion
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    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
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    Tstorm gostou disto.
  10. Orion

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    Local:
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    A parte mais ativa do ciclone falhou por pouco Anatom e Futuna, Vanuatu:

    [​IMG]

    Em termos gerais, a força do ciclone foi prolongada:

    [​IMG]
     
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    vamm e Tstorm gostaram disto.
  11. Orion

    Orion
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    Felipe Freitas e Thomar gostaram disto.
  12. Orion

    Orion
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
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    18,091
    Local:
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  13. Orion

    Orion
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
    18,091
    Local:
    Ponta Delgada, Açores
  14. Orion

    Orion
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
    18,091
    Local:
    Ponta Delgada, Açores
  15. Orion

    Orion
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    5 Jul 2011
    Mensagens:
    18,091
    Local:
    Ponta Delgada, Açores
    O Ciclone Victor está com péssimo aspeto. Até o raio de influência é muito assimétrico:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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