Época de Furacões 2007 - Austrália

Luis França

Nimbostratus
Registo
23 Mai 2006
Mensagens
1,467
Local
Hades
Last Update: Tuesday, January 2, 2007. 8:14pm (AEDT)

Dampier, Port Hedland prepare for first cyclone

The Western Australian ports of Dampier and Port Hedland are closing in preparation for the first cyclone of the season.

Ships carrying iron ore, liquefied natural gas and general cargo have had to leave and anchor at sea.

The Bureau of Meteorology says category one Tropical Cyclone Isobel is now north of Port Hedland and moving south towards the coast at 22 kilometres per hour.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200701/s1820581.htm

pic163587.jpg

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDE00902.loop.shtml
 

Luis França

Nimbostratus
Registo
23 Mai 2006
Mensagens
1,467
Local
Hades
Last Update: Wednesday, January 3, 2007. 7:23pm (AEDT)

The bureau is worried a perfect storm could develop. (BoM)

Cyclone weakens but WA braces for 'perfect storm'

There have been no reports of damage from cyclone Isobel, which crossed Western Australia's northern Pilbara coast this afternoon.

The category one cyclone has been downgraded to a low pressure system after it hit Eighty Mile Beach, located almost halfway between Broome and Port Hedland.

Emergency services are now preparing for a massive storm that is expected to hit the state's south-eastern regions at 3am AWDT tomorrow.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200701/s1821110.htm
 

Vince

Furacão
Registo
23 Jan 2007
Mensagens
10,624
Local
Braga
Este é o Dora.... (e vão 5)

E a menina Dora contra as expectativas, segue forte e com um olho muito bem definido.

At 1800 UTC on February 2, Météo-France reported the center of Intense Tropical Cyclone Dora to be located near 18.1°S, 67.9°E, or 1,305 km (810 miles) east-northeast of the coast of Réunion. It had maximum 10-minute average winds of 95 kt (175 km/h, 110 mph) with wind gusts of up to 135 kt (250 km/h, 155 mph). Its estimated minimum central pressure was 942 hPa, and it was moving south-southwest at 4 kt (7 km/h). At 1800 UTC February 2, the JTWC reported Tropical Cyclone 10S (Dora) to be located about 720 nm (1,335 km, 830 miles) east-northeast of Réunion. Maximum average 1-minute sustained winds were 110 kt (210 km/h, 130 mph), with higher gusts. The maximum wave height associated with the cyclone was 35 ft (10.6 m).

hemisferiosur4ho5.gif

doraaq0.jpg
 

Seringador

Cumulonimbus
Registo
29 Ago 2005
Mensagens
2,984
Local
Canelas - Vila Nova de Gaia
Bem, como não havia deixado de ser a previsão aponta para uma época mais intensa que a anterior (tb não era dificil mesmo sendo probabilistico:lmao: :lmao:)
Fiaca aqui a primeira grande abordagem (ler com calma), eu acho que vai ser uma época tipo 2005 não no nº de tempestades mas mais ao nível da localização geográfica do caminho como no nascimento a latitudes a N, acho que vão ser mais do que 14 tempestades nomeadas.... a ver vamos

Vai haver muito ACE e o SAL vai ser menos intenso e mais a Sul de Cabo Verde.

Previsão estatística e probabilística da Colorado State University - Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray

http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2006/dec2006/

mais aqui
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/
acho estes profissionai melhores do que os do NHC, mas é uma opinião;)
 

Santos

Nimbostratus
Registo
27 Jan 2006
Mensagens
1,110
Local
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Os dois ciclones que se encontram no Indico estão muito próximos um do outro e
devido à influência exercida pelo George sobre o Jacob, torna-se difícil prever uma trajectória para este último.