Furacão LESLIE (Atlântico 2012 #AL12)

[ThaDevilGirl]

Ainda bem que nao trabalho no principio da proxima semana... Leslie vai deixar muito trabalho para nos, Canadianos. Varios modelos fazem fassar o centro da tempestade ao este da Nova Escocia (Nova Scotia) e directamente sobre Terra Nova (New Foundland).

Mas eu estive a ver o GEM GLOBAL, o modelo canadiano, e fazem-no passar mais no interior. Isto quer dicer que o Quebeque e New Brunswick serao tambem afectados por chuva e vento.

Nao creio que o modelo canadiano tenha razao porque ainda no principio de esta semana o GLOBAL tem a tendencia de fazer explodir depressoes e empurrar-las mais para o interior do continento.

EDIT: Aqui estao imagens do modelo canadiano. De Segunda 00z até Terça 00z

http://www.meteo.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/134_100.gif

http://www.meteo.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/135_100.gif

http://www.meteo.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/136_100.gif

 

[FranciscoSR]

http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?f....315352843095.149796.560823095&type=1&theater

 

[Afgdr]

> Newfoundland‎ deverá ser atingida;
> Possível enfraquecimento de quarta para quinta.

 

[Afgdr]

[IMG]http://i.imgur.com/nnD33.jpg[/IMG]

A Tropical Strom Warning has been issued by the Bermuda Weather Service for that island. Tropical Storm Leslie is centered this Saturday morning about 325 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, moving toward the north at 5 mph. This general direction, with a gradual increase in forward speed, is expected through Sunday, before turning north-northeast Sunday Night. The center of Leslie is expected to pass east of Bermuda on Sunday wth tropical storm conditions arriving there by early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are 65 mph, but Leslie could regain hurricane strength over the weekend.
Elsewhere, Hurricane Michael is still a Category Two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. It's centered over the open waters of the Atlantic about 925 miles west-southwest of the Azores. A slow northwest motion and a gradual weakening is expected through the weekend. Michael is not a threat to land.
Get the latest on both tropical cyclones, including graphics, on the NOAA NHC website at www.hurricanes.gov

Alerta lançado para a Bermuda​

Fonte: Facebook NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center

 

[Afgdr]

Atualização​

 

[Afgdr]

Tropical storm-force wind gusts are occurring over Bermuda on this Sunday morning. Tropical Storm Leslie is centered about 170 miles southeast of Bermuda, moving north at 9 mph. Leslie should pick up some forward speed today, then turn more toward the north-northeast tonight or Monday. On that track, the center will pass east of Bermuda later today. Tropical storm conditions will continue over Bermuda today, with 2 to 4 inches of rain expected as well. A Tropical Storm Warning continues for the island. Maximum sustained winds are 65 mph, and Leslie could still regain hurricane strength during the next day or so.
Meanwhile, Hurricane Michael has changed little in strength, still a Category Two hurricane on the Saffi-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale with 100 mph winds. It's centered over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean about 925 miles west-southwest of the Azores. Gradual weakening is expected as it turns west today, then back toward the northwest on Monday. Michael is not a threat to land.
Get the latest on these two tropical cyclones, including graphics, by visiting the NOAA NHC website at www.hurricanes.gov

Atualização​

Fonte: Facebook NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center

 

[Afgdr]

Atualização​

 

[Afgdr]

Tropical Storm Leslie is heading for Newfoundland. Environment Canada has issued a Hurricane Watch for southeastern Newfoundland from Stones Cove to Charlottetown, and a Tropical Storm Watch from Indian Harbour to Stones Cove and from Fogo Islands to Charlottetown.
The center of Leslie is located about 870 miles south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland, moving toward the north-northeast. The forecast track brings the center of the storm over southeastern Newfoundland on Tuesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are 60 mph. Some strengthening is possible, and Leslie could be near hurricane strength as it approaches Newfoundland. It's also expected to begin a transformation to an extratropical or frontal cyclone as it approaches the Canadian Maritimes.
Meanwhile, Hurricane Michael has weakened a little more this morning. Maximum sustained winds are 80 mph, a Category One hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. More weakening is forecast, and Michael could become a tropical storm by tonight. It's centered more than a 1000 miles west of the Azores, moving toward the west. A turn toward the northwest is expected by tonight. It is not a threat to land.
Get the latest on these two tropical cyclones on the NOAA NHC website at www.hurricanes.gov

Atualização​

Fonte: Facebook NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center

 

[Afgdr]

 

[Duarte Sousa]

O "ex-Furacão" Leslie é agora um ciclone pós-tropical.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 111439
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012

...LESLIE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY
FROM NEWFOUNDLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...49.4N 53.6W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM NNW OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 45 MPH...72 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 49.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.6 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH...72 KH/HR...AND A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST-NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A STRONG POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT ATLANTIC
CANADA TODAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...RAINS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE DAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

 

[Afgdr]

Como o Duarte Sousa referiu o Leslie já é um "ex-furacão".