Previsão e Seguimento dos Ciclones no O. Índico - Temporada 2017/2018
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luismeteo3
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India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20 - 8:30 AM IST May 24 2018
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MEKUNU (ARB03-2018)
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at 3:00 AM UTC, the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Mekunu over west central & adjoining southwestern Arabian Sea moved further north northwestwards with a speed of 11 km/h during past 6 hours and lays centered near 13.3N 55.4E, about 180 km east northeast of Socotra Islands and 440 km south southeast of Salalah (Oman).
It is very likely to intensify further during next 24 hours. It is very likely to move nearly northwards during next 24 hours and then north northwestwards and cross southern Oman - southeastern Yemen coasts as a very severe cyclonic storm with sustained winds of 85 to 90 knots between 53.0E and 55.0E close to Salalah, around morning of May 26th.
As per the satellite imagery, the intensity of the system is T4.5.
3 minute sustained winds near the center is 75 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The state of the sea is phenomenal. Estimated central pressure of the very severe cyclonic storm is 972 hPa.
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
9 HRS 14.0N 55.4E - 80 to 85 knots (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm)
21 HRS 15.0N 55.1E - 85 to 90 knots (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm)
45 HRS 16.9N 53.9E - 90 knots (Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm)
69 HRS 18.5N 52.5E - 40 to 45 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20 - 8:30 AM IST May 24 2018
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MEKUNU (ARB03-2018)
========================================================
at 3:00 AM UTC, the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Mekunu over west central & adjoining southwestern Arabian Sea moved further north northwestwards with a speed of 11 km/h during past 6 hours and lays centered near 13.3N 55.4E, about 180 km east northeast of Socotra Islands and 440 km south southeast of Salalah (Oman).
It is very likely to intensify further during next 24 hours. It is very likely to move nearly northwards during next 24 hours and then north northwestwards and cross southern Oman - southeastern Yemen coasts as a very severe cyclonic storm with sustained winds of 85 to 90 knots between 53.0E and 55.0E close to Salalah, around morning of May 26th.
As per the satellite imagery, the intensity of the system is T4.5.
3 minute sustained winds near the center is 75 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The state of the sea is phenomenal. Estimated central pressure of the very severe cyclonic storm is 972 hPa.
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
9 HRS 14.0N 55.4E - 80 to 85 knots (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm)
21 HRS 15.0N 55.1E - 85 to 90 knots (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm)
45 HRS 16.9N 53.9E - 90 knots (Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm)
69 HRS 18.5N 52.5E - 40 to 45 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
luismeteo3
Furacão
Radar (Observations
Radar Salalah) http://met.gov.om/opencms/export/sites/default/dgman/en/weather-chart/map-data/---
Evento pouco frequente. Vai fazer muito dano.
Em teoria o ciclone irá chegar a terra em processo de enfraquecimento mas continuará a ter uma intensidade relevante (cat. 1). Salalah tem 200 mil pessoas e está muito próxima de uma região montanhosa.
luismeteo3
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luismeteo3
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luismeteo3
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luismeteo3
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luismeteo3
Furacão
O Ciclone Mekunu com Cat3
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weat...ate-of-emergency-declared-in-socotra/70005018
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weat...ate-of-emergency-declared-in-socotra/70005018
O Mekunu às 9z foi avaliado como um cat. 2 moderado (90 nós).
Os ventos com força de furacão têm um alcance entre 46 e 74 quilómetros. Infelizmente, não se confirmou o enfraquecimento tardio e a cidade de Salalah vai ser afetada pelos ventos mais intensos:
Seguimento https://twitter.com/OmanMeteorology & https://twitter.com/hashtag/Mekunu?src=hash
Os ventos com força de furacão têm um alcance entre 46 e 74 quilómetros. Infelizmente, não se confirmou o enfraquecimento tardio e a cidade de Salalah vai ser afetada pelos ventos mais intensos:
Seguimento
https://twitter.com/OmanMeteorology & https://twitter.com/hashtag/Mekunu?src=hash
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