Previsão e Seguimento Furacões (Atlântico 2017)

[luismeteo3]

 

[luismeteo3]

Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 9 WARNING!!!!!
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
islands of Antigua and Barbuda.

The government of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
islands of Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis.

The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm Watch
for the islands of Saba and St. Eustatius

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua and Barbuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba and St. Eustatius

 

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[luismeteo3]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 07 SEP 2017 Time : 154500 UTC
Lat : 14:59:00 N Lon : 50:45:17 W

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.9 / 972.1mb/ 87.4kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.9 5.4 5.4

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : -35.2C Cloud Region Temp : -64.6C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : N/A
- Environmental MSLP : 1012mb

Satellite Name : GOES13
Satellite Viewing Angle : 32.9 degrees

****************************************************
ADT estimates indicate Jose has Category 2, possibly Category 3 winds.

 

[luismeteo3]

 

[Felipe Freitas]

José deve ser atualizado para categoria 3.
Teremos nosso terceiro grande furacão de 2017.
Ilhas de Barbuda e Anguilla deve ser afetadas novamente.

AL, 12, 2017090718, , BEST, 0, 153N, 516W, 100, 969, HU, 34, NEQ, 100, 70, 50, 100, 1013, 150, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, JOSE, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 025,

José está querendo imitar Jeanne, 2004.

 

[Felipe Freitas]

José oficialmente se fortalece para categoria 3!
Acho que pode chegar até na categoria 4 pelo menos.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
500 PM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

...JOSE BECOMES 3RD MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2017 ATLANTIC SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 52.4W
ABOUT 590 MI...955 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

 

[Felipe Freitas]

 

[luismeteo3]

 

[Felipe Freitas]

José está cada vez mais bem organizado pelas imagens de satélite.
O sistema parece ter características anulares no momento.

Olho pinhole em Katia.
Poderia passar por uma rápida intensificação nas próximas 24 horas.

 

[luismeteo3]

• 000
  WTNT33 KNHC 080837
  TCPAT3
  
  BULLETIN
  Hurricane Katia Advisory Number 11
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017
  400 AM CDT Fri Sep 08 2017
  
  ...KATIA A LITTLE STRONGER...
  
  SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
  ----------------------------------------------
  LOCATION...21.3N 95.4W
  ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
  ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
  PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
  

000
WTNT32 KNHC 080838
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 AM AST Fri Sep 08 2017

...JOSE A LITTLE STRONGER...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 55.3W
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...200 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.25 INCHES

 

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