Seguimento África - 2025

[Orion]

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/cyclone-battered-mayotte-bracing-new-tropical-storm-2025-01-10/

Sendo hemisfério sul, dramáticas alterações na previsão podem ocorrer.





Centro oficial de previsão https://meteofrance.re/fr/cyclone & http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/francais/index.html#

 

[Orion]

https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/mundo/mocambique-acompanha-segundo-ciclone-em-menos-de-um-mes_n1626487

 

[Orion]

https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/202501...-from-mayotte-leaves-three-dead-in-madagascar

 

[Orion]

https://meteofrance.re/fr/cyclone & https://meteofrance.re/fr/observations (estações, radar e sat)

 

[Orion]

A ilha é tão agreste (2500 km2) que destrói o olho.

 

[Orion]

Do meu conhecimento, não há previsões de modelos regionais para Reunião no portal da MeteoFrance.

Poucas passagens diretas de ciclones intensos desde 1980.

 

[Orion]

Clicar nas estações.

 

[Orion]

O olho chegou bastante desgastado.

 

[Orion]

MODEL DISCUSSION: NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN FAIR AGREEMENT, WITH SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK FORECAST AFTER TAU 36. DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINTY, THE SYSTEM MAY REMAIN OVER LAND FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD, WHICH COULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN BELOW 35 KNOTS.
CONSEQUENTLY, THE REINTENSIFICATION PHASE COULD BE DELAYED, WITH A LOWER INTENSITY AT TAU 120.

Últimos 15 anos.

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arome.php?ech=3&mode=54&map=60

 

[Orion]

https://meteofrance.re/fr/actualites/le-cyclone-garance-frappe-la-reunion

 

[Orion]

- https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arome.php?ech=3&mode=54&map=60

+ https://view.eumetsat.int/productviewer?v=msg_fes:ir108 & https://view.eumetsat.int/productviewer?v=msg_iodc:rgb_tropicalairmass

 

[StormRic]

Photos: Heavy rains cause flooding in Somalia’s Mogadishu, killing seven

Heavy rains trigger flooding that damages roads, homes and key infrastructure in Mogadishu.

www.aljazeera.com

https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/seven-dead-after-heavy-rain-hit-mogadishu-friday-2025-05-10/

 

[StormRic]

More than 100 dead after flooding in eastern DR Congo, officials say

The victims were mostly children and elderly people, with an additional 28 injured.

www.aljazeera.com

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/more-than-100-dead-after-flooding-eastern-congo-official-says-2025-05-11/

"The floods were triggered by torrential rains and surged through the Kasaba village, in South Kivu province, during the night of Thursday into Friday"

"[...] a village near the shores of Lake Tanganyika in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)"

"A local resident told AFP that some 119 bodies had been found by Saturday.
Such natural disasters are frequent in DR Congo, particularly on the shores of the Great Lakes in the east of the country, as the surrounding hills are weakened by deforestation. In 2023, floods killed 400 people in several communities located on the shores of Lake Kivu, in South Kivu province, while last month, 33 people were killed in flooding in the capital, Kinshasa."