Seguimento Meteorológico Livre - 2025

[Orion]

Das Flores, no Spotazores renovado.

Muito, muito fumo:

 

[StormRic]

Muito, muito fumo:

Deverá ser dos incêndios no Manitoba, Canadá.

 

[Orion]

Gráficos deste género são de longe os de mais fácil perceção.

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[Orion]

Opinião quiçá impopular:

A temporada ocorrerá sem grandes incidentes porque haverá mobilização de meios humanos consoante as necessidades. Em termos de tecnologia, a tarefa é mais simples que a de muitos porque têm tudo o que há https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/hurricane-season-2025-artificial-intelligence-ai-tech

O NHC tem um substituto se necessário e certamente há (outros) meteorologistas do NWS com treino em ciclones tropicais.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

The WPC is the official back-up center to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). In this capacity, the WPC is responsible for issuing all tropical cyclone products, including discussions, graphics and watches and warnings that would normally be issued by the NHC for any tropical system in the Atlantic Ocean or eastern Pacific Ocean basins, if NHC is unable to do so for any reason.

During the tropical weather season which runs from May 15-November 30, the WPC has several other routine duties pertaining to tropical weather forecasting. The first duty is to provide track forecast guidance to the NHC whenever there is a tropical cyclone in the Atlantic Ocean basin west of 60W longitude. As required, this guidance is provided to the NHC four times daily for use in the tropical cyclone package issued by the NHC at 0300 UTC, 0900 UTC, 1500 UTC and 2100 UTC. The WPC also participates in theHurricane Hotline call with the NHC and other forecast offices and government agencies for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean basin west of 60W longitude.

Another duty of the WPC tropical desk is to provide the rainfall statement for tropical cyclones that are expected to make landfall. This statement is included in the Public Advisory issued by the NHC, and is a forecast of expected rainfall amounts that will occur with the tropical cyclone.

Finally, the WPC tropical desk also has the responsibility for issuing Public Advisories whenever a tropical cyclone has made landfall in the U.S. or adjacent parts of Mexico, has weakened below tropical storm status, and the NHC is no longer issuing advisories on the system but the system is still capable of producing flooding type rains. This WPC Public Advisory will continue to be issued until the flooding rainfall threat is over. The advisory will contain information on how much rainfall has occurred with a particular tropical system, and will also include forecast information on the remnants of the system.

Se vai dar para todas as necessidades de previsão meteorológicas nacionais? Vai-se ver.

Pelo menos não há temporada de tornados.

 

[Orion]

 

[Orion]

 

[Orion]

Outras realidades https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/glacier-melt-will-unleash-avalanche-of-cascading-impacts

 

[Orion]

Bureau's ACCESS-S2 model joins Copernicus C3S | Bureau of Meteorology posted on the topic | LinkedIn

The Bureau's operational forecast model, ACCESS-S2, has joined other international models on the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).  The Bureau's contribution to Copernicus C3S will lead to future improvements in weather and climate products and services in Australia. It will also...

www.linkedin.com

Havia a intenção desde há alguns anos. Infelizmente, não consegui encontrar a fonte https://climate.copernicus.eu/charts/packages/c3s_seasonal/?facets={"Centres":["BOM"]} + https://access-s.clide.cloud/

Pessoalmente, e não obstante a boa base, creio que é melhor evitá-lo.

 

[Orion]

Opinião quiçá impopular:

A temporada ocorrerá sem grandes incidentes porque haverá mobilização de meios humanos consoante as necessidades. Em termos de tecnologia, a tarefa é mais simples que a de muitos porque têm tudo o que há https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/hurricane-season-2025-artificial-intelligence-ai-tech

O NHC tem um substituto se necessário e certamente há (outros) meteorologistas do NWS com treino em ciclones tropicais.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/


Se vai dar para todas as necessidades de previsão meteorológicas nacionais? Vai-se ver.

Pelo menos não há temporada de tornados.

Não tenho a mesma opinião no pós-ciclone https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/fema-ready-hurricane-season-internal-review-finds/story?id=121837637

 

[Orion]

Fim da crise?