Agora saiu a atualização do estofex, esta inclui o promeiro período de animação.
... Portugal ...
... A few forecast soundings from S-Portugal indicate the
chance for a mixture of organized multicells and
isolated supercells with large hail and strong to severe wind gusts. Also, an overlap of moderate LLCAPE and locally enhanced LL shear indicate an isolated tornado/waterspout risk along the SW/S coast of Portugal. A few cold-air funnels/short-lived tornado events however can also occur further north, over N-Portugal. During the late afternoon hours, environmental conditions become increasingly supportive for upscale growth of ongoing convection into numerous clusters of showers/thunderstorms...
not necessarily well organized. Heavy rain will be possible with strongest clusters.
The level 1 was expanded towards SW-Spain due to an augmented risk for repeatedly onshore moving showers/thunderstorms and temporal back-building (as 20 m/s LLJ becomes aligned near parallel to onshore pointing moisture tongue). LL shear,
although not particular strong, still indicates a chance for isolated tornado events.