Furacão JOAQUIN (Atlântico 2015 #AL11)

Tópico em 'Tempo Tropical' iniciado por MSantos 29 Set 2015 às 14:16.

  1. StormRic

    StormRic
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    23 Jun 2014
    Mensagens:
    12,290
    Local:
    Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
    http://gcaptain.com/tote-maritime-us-cargo-ship-el-faro-missing-in-hurricane-joaquin/#.Vg8kKpd2H8k


    Update:
    The U.S. Coast Guard has suspended its search overnight for the missing MV El Faro with 33 crewmembers onboard near the Bahamas after the search on Friday turned up empty.

    The Coast Guard updated Friday evening that the search has covered approximately 850 nautical miles of ocean and involved the Coast Guard Cutter Northland, HC-130 Hercules airplanes from Coast Guard Air Station Clearwater, Florida and a MH-60 Jayhawk rescue helicopter crew forward deployed in Great Inagua, Bahamas.

    So far, the crews have been unable to locate and reestablish communications with the vessel or its crew.

    The search was temporarily suspended at sundown and will continue at first light Saturday morning, the Coast Guard said.

    Original: The U.S. Coast Guard has launched a search for a U.S.-flagged containership with 33 crewmembers aboard reported to be caught in Hurricane Joaquin, near Crooked Island, Bahamas.

    The Coast Guard reported Friday that at approximately 7:30 a.m. Thursday, watchstanders at the Coast Guard Atlantic Area command center in Portsmouth, Virginia, received an Inmarsat satellite notification stating the 735-foot cargo ship El Faro was beset by Hurricane Joaquin while en route to San Juan, Puerto Rico, from Jacksonville, Florida. The notification said that the ship had lost propulsion and had a 15-degree list.

    The El Faro crew reported the ship had previously taken on water, but that all flooding had been contained, the Coast Guard said.

    The Coast Guard has launched an HC-130 aircrew out of Clearwater, Florida to search for the missing ship and its crew. The Coast Guard has so far been unable to reestablish communications with the El Faro crew, the Coast Guard reported Friday morning.

    Two Air Force C-130 Hurricane Hunter aircrews have also attempted to locate inside the hurricane and reestablish communications with the El Faro but so far any attempts have been unsuccessful. Coast Guard crews remain on scene and are continuing search efforts Friday by both air and sea.

    El Faro is part of TOTE Maritime’s fleet serving in the Puerto Rican trade. The crew is comprised of 28 U.S. citizens and five Polish nationals, according to the Coast Guard.

    [​IMG]
    The El Faro is shown in this undated handout photo provided by Tote Maritime in Jacksonville, Florida, October 2, 2015. Reuters/Tote Maritime


    Hurricane Joaquin grew to a powerful Category 4 storm on Thursday, battering the Bahamas with torrential rain, strong winds and storm surges. On late Thursday, Joaquin was centered about 75 miles (120 km) south of San Salvador, Bahamas with maximum sustained winds of 130 miles per hour (210 kph), the National Hurricane Center said in its advisory late on Thursday.

    Tim Nolan, President of TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico issued the following statement regarding the situation with the El Faro:

    “On September 29, the El Faro, one of TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico’s two ships departed Jacksonville en-route to San Juan Puerto Rico. At the time of the El Faro’s departure, the vessel’s officers and crew were monitoring what was then Tropical Storm Joaquin. As of 720am EST on Thursday October 1, TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico lost all communication with the El Faro. The US Coast Guard was immediately notified and since then we have been unable to reestablish communication. There are a number of possible reasons for the loss of communications among them the increasing severity of Hurricane Joaquin.

    TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico’s primary concern is for the safety and well-being of the 33 individuals on board. We are working to ensure clear and frequent communications with their families and loved ones as we learn more.

    We have reached out to the families of those impacted and have established open lines of communication to provide them with timely updates. Our thoughts and prayers are with the individuals and their families.

    TOTE Maritime Puerto Rico is working closely with the US Coast Guard and all available resources to establish communication by whatever means possible.”

    Location of Hurricane Joaquin on Thursday:

    [​IMG]
    NASA’s Aqua satellite captured this visible image of Hurricane Joaquin over Bahamas on Thursday, October 1 at 17:55 UTC (1:55 p.m. EDT). Credits: NASA Goddard MODIS Rapid Response Team


    The El Faro has been a part of Sea Star Line’s fleet serving the Jones Act trade route between the U.S. and Puerto Rico and the Caribbean. Sea Star Line was an operating company within TOTE, Inc., but it was recently re-organized along with Totem Ocean Trailer Express, serving the Alaska market, under the TOTE Maritime brand.

    The El Faro was originally built in 1975 and underwent a major overhaul in 2006. The ship was known as the Northern Lights.

    Also on Thursday, the U.S. Coast Guard rescued 12 crewmembers who abandoned the Bolivian-flagged cargo ship Minouche north of Haiti after the ship developed a severe list.
     
  2. StormRic

    StormRic
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    23 Jun 2014
    Mensagens:
    12,290
    Local:
    Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
    Actualização: o furacão mantém-se em categoria 3, ventos de 205 Km/h.
    Movimento para NE (40º) a 11 Km/h
    Pressão 943 hPa.

     
  3. Joaopaulo

    Joaopaulo
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    28 Dez 2013
    Mensagens:
    4,468
    Local:
    Rechousa - VNGaia (174m)
    Hurricane Joaquin
    Composite image of category 3 Hurricane Joaquin from 12:00 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2015.

    [​IMG]
     
  4. Teles

    Teles
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    7 Dez 2007
    Mensagens:
    2,210
    Local:
    Rio Maior
    Flooding in Wildwood, NJ... photo from @surgguy
    [​IMG]

    Flooding in Norfolk, VA... photo from Samantha Davis
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  5. Teles

    Teles
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    7 Dez 2007
    Mensagens:
    2,210
    Local:
    Rio Maior
    Alternate transportation in Charleston, SC... photo from @hoopdaddie:

    [​IMG]
     
  6. Teles

    Teles
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    7 Dez 2007
    Mensagens:
    2,210
    Local:
    Rio Maior
    Um video postado no face pelo Brandon Sullivan um storm chaser americano mostra apenas o inicio do Joaquim a chegar :

     
  7. Teles

    Teles
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    Cumulonimbus

    Registo:
    7 Dez 2007
    Mensagens:
    2,210
    Local:
    Rio Maior
    Devastation across the Bahamas... home wiped completely off its foundation in Rum Cay, Bahamas..

    [​IMG]
     
  8. Tstorm

    Tstorm
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    Cirrus

    Registo:
    7 Ago 2014
    Mensagens:
    35
    Local:
    Queimada Nova, Piauí, Brasil
  9. JCARL

    JCARL
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    Cumulus

    Registo:
    29 Nov 2010
    Mensagens:
    316
    Local:
    Vila Velha de Ródão
  10. StormRic

    StormRic
    Expand Collapse
    Furacão

    Registo:
    23 Jun 2014
    Mensagens:
    12,290
    Local:
    Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
    Wessel1985, Joaopaulo e Tstorm gostaram disto.
  11. StormRic

    StormRic
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    Furacão

    Registo:
    23 Jun 2014
    Mensagens:
    12,290
    Local:
    Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
    ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    HURRICANE JOAQUIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
    1100 AM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015

    The satellite presentation has improved during the past 12 hours.
    A distinct eye is clearly observed in conventional imagery, and it
    is surrounded by very deep convection. A blend of subjective and
    objective Dvorak estimates of 6.0 and 6.5 T-numbers, and a peak
    flight-level wind of 128 kt at 700 mb reported by a reconnaissance
    aircraft yields an initial intensity of 115 kt. The central
    pressure has dropped to 936 mb in the last reconnaissance fix.
    Despite the small increase in the initial intensity, the NHC
    forecast, which is very close to the intensity model consensus,
    calls for gradual weakening due to increasing shear and cooler
    waters. By the end of the forecast period, Joaquin is expected to
    have lost tropical characteristics.

    Reconnaissance and satellite fixes indicate that Joaquin is moving
    toward the northeast or 050 degrees at an average speed of 12 kt.
    The hurricane is currently embedded within the flow between a deep
    eastward-moving trough over the southeastern United States and a
    subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic. As the trough over the
    United States swings eastward, the hurricane will likely turn
    more to the north-northeast with some increase in forward speed
    during the next 12 to 24 hours. Then, as the trough weakens, the
    hurricane could slow down while moving west of Bermuda during late
    Sunday. After that time, Joaquin is expected to become fully
    embedded within the mid-latitude westerlies and accelerate eastward
    toward the northeast Atlantic. The NHC forecast is very similar to
    the previous one, on top of the multi-model consensus, and in the
    middle of the guidance envelope.

    Although the confidence in the track forecast has increased due to
    the good agreement among models, a small deviation to the east of
    the forecast track would bring the core of the hurricane with
    stronger winds closer to Bermuda.



    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 03/1500Z 25.8N 72.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
    12H 04/0000Z 27.9N 70.2W 110 KT 125 MPH
    24H 04/1200Z 30.7N 68.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
    36H 05/0000Z 33.0N 66.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
    48H 05/1200Z 35.0N 65.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
    72H 06/1200Z 39.0N 59.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
    96H 07/1200Z 43.5N 45.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
    120H 08/1200Z 48.5N 26.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

    $$
    Forecaster Avila

    NNNN
    Não é um local atingido pelo Joaquin, fica melhor no seguimento América do Norte. No entanto a simultaneidade dos eventos tem correlação, pois a circulação conjunta do furacão e do vasto anticiclone produzem os fortes ventos marítimos muito húmidos que atingem a costa Leste dos EUA.

    [​IMG]

    Actualização de Joaquin pelo NHC há uma hora atrás:

    Bermuda com aviso de tempestade tropical e hurricane watch:
    [​IMG]

    O furacão volta para trás depois da trágica visita às Bahamas, praticamente segundo uma trajectória com as características opostas à da chegada.

    Incerteza quanto ao desvio que fará evitando a Bermuda:

    [​IMG]

    Joaquin volta a ser categoria 4 !

    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 031550
    TCDAT1

    HURRICANE JOAQUIN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
    1200 PM EDT SAT OCT 03 2015

    This special advisory is to adjust the initial and forecast
    intensity through 36 hours. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane

    just penetrated the eye of Joaquin and measured 144 kt at 700 mb and
    SFMR winds of around 135 kt. No change in the forecast track is
    necessary.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 03/1600Z 26.0N 71.6W 135 KT 155 MPH
    12H 04/0000Z 27.9N 70.2W 130 KT 150 MPH

    24H 04/1200Z 30.7N 68.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
    36H 05/0000Z 33.0N 66.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
    48H 05/1200Z 35.0N 65.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
    72H 06/1200Z 39.0N 59.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
    96H 07/1200Z 43.5N 45.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
    120H 08/1200Z 48.5N 26.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

    $$
    Forecaster Avila


    Estará portanto em categoria 5.
     
    #72 StormRic, 3 Out 2015 às 17:23
    Última edição: 3 Out 2015 às 17:57
  12. StormRic

    StormRic
    Expand Collapse
    Furacão

    Registo:
    23 Jun 2014
    Mensagens:
    12,290
    Local:
    Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
  13. StormRic

    StormRic
    Expand Collapse
    Furacão

    Registo:
    23 Jun 2014
    Mensagens:
    12,290
    Local:
    Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)
    Terá sido o prenúncio de aumento de força.

    000
    WTCA41 TJSJ 031559
    TCPSP1

    BOLETIN
    HURACAN JOAQUIN ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 24
    CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL112015
    TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
    1200 PM EDT SABADO 3 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015

    ...AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO ENCUENTRA QUE EL HURACAN SEVERO JOAQUIN
    TIENE VIENTOS DE 155 MPH...


    RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1200 PM EDT...1600 UTC
    -------------------------------------------------------
    LOCALIZACION...26.0 NORTE 71.6 OESTE
    CERCA DE 595 MI...960 KM AL SUROESTE DE BERMUDA
    CERCA DE 230 MI...365 KM...AL NORESTE DE SAN SALVADOR
    VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
    MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NORESTE O 50 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
    PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...933 MILIBARES...27.55 PULGADAS


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 1200 PM EDT (1600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Joaquin was located
    near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 71.6 West. Joaquin is moving
    toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is
    expected to continue through tonight with an increase in forward
    speed. A turn toward the north-northeast is forecast on Sunday. On
    the forecast track, the eye of Joaquin will continue to move
    away from the Bahamas today, and pass west of Bermuda on Sunday.
    However, a small deviation to the east of the forecast track would
    bring the core of the hurricane and stronger winds closer to
    Bermuda.


    An Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane just indicated that the maximum
    sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h) with
    higher gusts. Joaquin is a strong category 4 hurricane on the
    Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening is
    still anticipated during the next couple of days.

    Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
    the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
    miles (335 km).

    The minimum central pressure recently reported by a reconnaissance
    plane was 933 mb (27.55 inches).


    Ventos máximos sustentados de 250 Km/h.

    Espera-se um desvio da presente rota nordeste para NNE amanhã, esperando-se que evite assim a Bermuda, passando o olho a oeste. Mas os ventos com força de furacão estendem-se até 110 Km de distância do centro.
     
    Wessel1985, Felipe Freitas e Tstorm gostaram disto.

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