Previsão e Seguimento de Furacões (Atlântico 2019)

[luismeteo3]

 

[luismeteo3]

NHC aumenta para 80% a probabilidade de formação de ciclone tropical, que pode ocorrer ainda hoje.

 

[Hawk]

Comunicado do IPMA:

 

[Orion]

Como o sistema é muito pequeno, os modelos são ainda mais falíveis do que habitual.

Lembra o furacão Alex.

Daqui a menos de 1 hora haverá atualização dos avisos.

 

[luismeteo3]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 252034
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Olga Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM OLGA...
...EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT AND BECOME A POST-TROPICAL
LOW WITH GALE FORCE WINDS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 93.2W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

 

[luismeteo3]

 

[luismeteo3]

 

[luismeteo3]

 

[luismeteo3]

 

[Afgdr]

O panorama atual no Atlântico é este: Ciclone Pós-tropical Rebekah e uma área sob observação, com 0% de se tornar um ciclone tropical nas próximas 48h-120h.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located nearly 1000 miles
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a tropical
wave. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for
development by later today, and significant development of this
system is not anticipated as the disturbance moves westward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

11h55 UTC

 

[Orion]

 

[Afgdr]

Depois de um período de calmaria pelo Atlântico, uma nova área com potencial para se tornar um ciclone tropical está a ser monitorizada pelo NHC.

Neste momento, há 20% de probabilidade de se formar um ciclone tropical em 2 dias e 30% em 5 dias.

1. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located
over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands is associated with an upper-level low and
surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then
northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to
merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development
is not expected after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

16h25 UTC

A época oficial de furacões termina dentro de 2 semanas, no dia 30 de novembro.

 

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