1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Honduras, and parts of Central America are
associated with a broad area of low pressure located inland over
northwestern Honduras. This system will move west-northwestward
across southern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico
during the next day or so, preventing tropical cyclone formation
during that time. By Wednesday, however, the system is forecast to
emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche where conditions could
become a little more conducive for some organization to occur
later this week. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to produce heavy rains over a large portion of Central
America during the next couple of days, which could cause
flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.