DISCUSSION
.... Portugal, Spain, Morocco ....
The cold pool that has formed west from Portugal creates a favorable environment for DMC events in the Iberian Peninsula and NW part of Morocco. Latest model guidance suggest a combination of strong mid level winds and several impulses within the unstable low level air masses, with a vorticity lobe crossing the countries after 12z. DLS is calculated around 20 m/s or more, overlapping with 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE. DLS values over Morocco exceed the 30 m/s, but CAPE values are meager. Any cluster of storm that will appear in this environment, will be capable of producing large hail, even though GFS produces low LCL heights, ECMWF forecasts lower mixing ratios in the PBL and higher LCLs. Moreover, strong to severe wind gusts cannot be excluded at the storms' outflows.