Sim o Estofex é que prevê este cenário, mas vou por a descrição desta previsão para ficarem mais a par do que poderá vir a acontecer.
A level 2 was issued for western Portugal, Sardinia, Corsica, central Italy, and western Croatia regions mainly for excessive rain and to a lower extend for tornaodes.
Southern Iberia and north-west Mediterranean
An active forecast period is forecast given a broad frontal zone will strech across the north-west Mediterranean that will slowly spread southward. In the warm sector, a moist and warm air mass is present. Latest soundings indicate rich low-level moisture and steep mid-level lapse rates, creating CAPE in the order of 200 J/kg. On Thursday, models predict increasing lift ahead of the approaching jet streak, and increasing lapse rates will likely be associated with CAPE. Focus of lift is forecast along and just north of the frontal boundary, where stratiform precipitation with embedded thunderstorms will likely evolve. Excessive rain is forecast especially where upslope flow will be present. Given strong vertical wind shear, storms will likely organize, and shallow mesocyclones are not ruled out, capable of producing tornadoes. Late in the period, the chance of severe wind gusts will also increase given the strong low-level winds at the southern flank of the low pressure centre.